Gimhae City 5-1 Busan Transportation — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-0.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 22%
+9% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.65/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.49
+4% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimhae City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Busan Transportation
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.08.2024 Gimhae City Gimhae City 1-2 HT 1-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
20.04.2024 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-3 HT 2-2 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
19.08.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-2 HT 1-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
22.04.2023 Gimhae City Gimhae City 2-1 HT 1-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
09.07.2022 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
27.03.2022 Gimhae City Gimhae City 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
POST-MATCH Gimhae City vs Busan Transportation
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimhae City ran out comfortable winners over Busan Transportation 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimhae City as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimhae City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gimhae City and 1.00 for Busan Transportation.

What was the final score of Gimhae City vs Busan Transportation?

Gimhae City 5-1 Busan Transportation in the South Kore - K3 League on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimhae City vs Busan Transportation?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimhae City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Gimhae City 56%, draw 23%, Busan Transportation 21%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimhae City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimhae City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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