Gimhae City 1-2 Busan Transportation — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
67%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.8pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 16%
+9% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.96/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.61
+13% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / -35%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimhae City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Busan Transportation
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.04.2024 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-3 HT 2-2 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
19.08.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-2 HT 1-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
22.04.2023 Gimhae City Gimhae City 2-1 HT 1-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
09.07.2022 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
27.03.2022 Gimhae City Gimhae City 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
26.09.2021 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-1 HT 1-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
POST-MATCH Gimhae City vs Busan Transportation
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan Transportation edged past Gimhae City 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Gimhae City carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimhae City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gimhae City and 1.00 for Busan Transportation.

What was the final score of Gimhae City vs Busan Transportation?

Gimhae City 1-2 Busan Transportation in the South Kore - K3 League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimhae City vs Busan Transportation?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimhae City win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Gimhae City 61%, draw 24%, Busan Transportation 15%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gimhae City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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