Yangpyeong 1-5 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.3pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yangpyeong EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.97/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.95
-16% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yangpyeong
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Changwon City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.04.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 2-0 HT 2-0 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong GK3L
02.07.2023 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong 2-0 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
18.03.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 1-0 HT 0-0 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong GK3L
POST-MATCH Yangpyeong vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City ran out comfortable winners over Yangpyeong 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Changwon City made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Changwon City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Yangpyeong and 1.00 for Changwon City.

What was the final score of Yangpyeong vs Changwon City?

Yangpyeong 1-5 Changwon City in the South Kore - K3 League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yangpyeong vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Changwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Yangpyeong 32%, draw 31%, Changwon City 38%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Changwon City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Changwon City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GK3L More South Kore - K3 League
18 Aug 2024
10:00 Siheung Citizen vs Daegu II Analysis →
11:00 Pocheon vs Hwaseong Analysis →
11:00 Gimhae City vs Busan Transportation Analysis →