Iwaki 5-1 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.0
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 29% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 38%
-11% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +7%
1.05/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.97
-12% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.7 Crosses 20.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
3.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
233 Passes 219
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
14 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Iwaki Iwaki 3-4 HT 1-2 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
17.03.2024 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-6 HT 0-2 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
27.08.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-4 HT 2-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
03.06.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 0-4 HT 0-2 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
5-1
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
34% Ball Possession 66%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
178 Passes 428
65% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs Roasso Kumamoto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki swept aside Roasso Kumamoto 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Iwaki found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Iwaki had 34% of the ball to Roasso Kumamoto's 66%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for Iwaki and 2.50 for Roasso Kumamoto.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Iwaki 5-1 Roasso Kumamoto in the Japan - J2 League on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 34%, draw 25%, Roasso Kumamoto 40%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✗ Under 2.5
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