Iwaki 3-4 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.87
6+ Goals
11%
17.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 32%
-25% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / -6%
1.05/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.20
-23% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-6 HT 0-2 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
27.08.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-4 HT 2-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
03.06.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 0-4 HT 0-2 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
3-4
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
233 Passes 219
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
14 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs Roasso Kumamoto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roasso Kumamoto nicked a narrow win over Iwaki 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Roasso Kumamoto found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Iwaki had 53% of the ball to Roasso Kumamoto's 47%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Iwaki had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Iwaki and 2.00 for Roasso Kumamoto.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Iwaki 3-4 Roasso Kumamoto in the Japan - J2 League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 37%, draw 27%, Roasso Kumamoto 36%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Iwaki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Iwaki) ✓ BTTS Yes
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