Tochigi SC 1-2 Ventforet Kofu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.86
6+ Goals
10%
17.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 30% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
0.99/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.83
-12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +33%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
326 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi SC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-2 HT 1-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
29.07.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 3-0 HT 1-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
16.04.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
01.10.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-1 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
08.05.2022 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
17.07.2021 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
1-2
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
437 Passes 362
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Crosses 7
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs Ventforet Kofu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ventforet Kofu squeezed past Tochigi SC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Ventforet Kofu found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 55% of the ball to Ventforet Kofu's 45%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tochigi SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tochigi SC and 0.50 for Ventforet Kofu.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs Ventforet Kofu?

Tochigi SC 1-2 Ventforet Kofu in the Japan - J2 League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs Ventforet Kofu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ventforet Kofu win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 33%, draw 28%, Ventforet Kofu 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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