Mito HollyHock 2-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.65
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+10.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 28%
-16% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.28/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.16
-16% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
2W-1D-3L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.04.2024 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
22.10.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-2 HT 1-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
17.05.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-1 HT 0-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
23.10.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-1 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
03.04.2022 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-1 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
10.10.2021 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-1 HT 1-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
2-1
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
312 Passes 316
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock edged past ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Mito HollyHock made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 50% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 50%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ThespaKusatsu Gunma led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mito HollyHock and 1.33 for ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Mito HollyHock 2-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J2 League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mito HollyHock win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 39%, draw 26%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mito HollyHock) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mito HollyHock) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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