JEF United 4-2 Vegalta Sendai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
18.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +4%
1.06/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.31
-22% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
235 Passes 210
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2024 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-2 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
23.09.2023 JEF United JEF United 3-1 HT 1-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
28.05.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-1 HT 2-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
27.08.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-2 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
05.06.2022 JEF United JEF United 2-0 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
4-2
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
302 Passes 253
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH JEF United vs Vegalta Sendai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United got the better of Vegalta Sendai 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had JEF United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, JEF United had 55% of the ball to Vegalta Sendai's 45%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, JEF United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for JEF United and 0.60 for Vegalta Sendai.

What was the final score of JEF United vs Vegalta Sendai?

JEF United 4-2 Vegalta Sendai in the Japan - J2 League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs Vegalta Sendai?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split JEF United 45%, draw 27%, Vegalta Sendai 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JEF United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JEF United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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