Vegalta Sendai 0-2 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 27 Apr 2024

Vegalta Sendai
0-2 HT 0-1
JEF United
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

Vegalta Sendai vs JEF United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
20.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 34% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-5.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vegalta Sendai v JEF United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 49%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -36%
1.52/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.54
+46% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5

Vegalta Sendai vs JEF United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vegalta Sendai
1W-0D-3L
AWAY JEF United
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
210 Passes 235
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
23.09.2023 JEF United JEF United 3-1 HT 1-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
28.05.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-1 HT 2-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
27.08.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-2 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
05.06.2022 JEF United JEF United 2-0 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2

Vegalta Sendai 0-2 JEF United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vegalta Sendai
0-2
AWAY JEF United
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vegalta Sendai vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United saw off Vegalta Sendai 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 28% / 40% — and on the day JEF United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Vegalta Sendai had 59% of the ball to JEF United's 41%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, JEF United led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Vegalta Sendai and 2.00 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Vegalta Sendai vs JEF United?

Vegalta Sendai 0-2 JEF United in the Japan - J2 League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vegalta Sendai vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated an JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vegalta Sendai 31%, draw 28%, JEF United 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JEF United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JEF United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
27 Apr 2024
08:00 Mito HollyHock vs Fujieda MYFC Analysis →
08:00 ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs V-Varen Nagasaki Analysis →
08:55 Ehime FC vs Ventforet Kofu Analysis →