Ehime FC 2-1 Ventforet Kofu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒08:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.43
6+ Goals
12%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 28% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 46%
-18% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.04/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.78
-7% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ehime FC
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
11.07.2021 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-0 HT 1-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
21.03.2021 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
09.12.2020 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
19.08.2020 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 3-2 HT 1-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ehime FC
2-1
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 30
3 Shots on Target 8
11 Corners 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ehime FC vs Ventforet Kofu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ehime FC squeezed past Ventforet Kofu 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ventforet Kofu at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ehime FC had 46% of the ball to Ventforet Kofu's 54%, shots finished 11-30.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ventforet Kofu led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ehime FC and 1.75 for Ventforet Kofu.

What was the final score of Ehime FC vs Ventforet Kofu?

Ehime FC 2-1 Ventforet Kofu in the Japan - J2 League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ehime FC vs Ventforet Kofu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ventforet Kofu win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ehime FC 29%, draw 25%, Ventforet Kofu 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) ✗ Under 2.5
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