Fukushima United 3-3 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.24/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.07
+9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
241 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.1 Crosses 23.0
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fukushima United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sagamihara
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
539 Passes 225
85% Pass Accuracy 67%
8 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Fukushima United Fukushima United 2-3 HT 1-3 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
13.04.2024 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-0 HT 1-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
24.09.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-1 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
12.03.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 2-1 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
30.08.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-3 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
08.11.2020 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fukushima United
3-3
AWAY Sagamihara
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
289 Passes 279
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Crosses 31
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fukushima United vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fukushima United and Sagamihara shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sagamihara at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fukushima United had 51% of the ball to Sagamihara's 49%, shots finished 11-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sagamihara led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fukushima United and 1.33 for Sagamihara.

What was the final score of Fukushima United vs Sagamihara?

Fukushima United 3-3 Sagamihara in the Japan - J3 League on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fukushima United vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fukushima United 29%, draw 29%, Sagamihara 42%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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