Fukushima United 2-3 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.31/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.07
-3% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.7 Crosses 19.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fukushima United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sagamihara
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-0 HT 1-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
24.09.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-1 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
12.03.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 2-1 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
30.08.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-3 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
08.11.2020 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
05.09.2020 Sagamihara Sagamihara 3-2 HT 2-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fukushima United
2-3
AWAY Sagamihara
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
539 Passes 225
85% Pass Accuracy 67%
8 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fukushima United vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara squeezed past Fukushima United 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Sagamihara made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Fukushima United had 67% of the ball to Sagamihara's 33%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sagamihara led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fukushima United and 1.33 for Sagamihara.

What was the final score of Fukushima United vs Sagamihara?

Fukushima United 2-3 Sagamihara in the Japan - J3 League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fukushima United vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fukushima United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fukushima United 40%, draw 28%, Sagamihara 32%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fukushima United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fukushima United) ✓ BTTS Yes
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