Azul Claro Numazu 1-1 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.54/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.66
+6% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 19.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 3-1 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
29.10.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 3-0 HT 2-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
28.05.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
25.09.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-1 HT 0-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
04.05.2022 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
21.11.2021 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-1 HT 0-1 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
1-1
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
257 Passes 329
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
7 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Azul Claro Numazu vs Parceiro Nagano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Azul Claro Numazu and Parceiro Nagano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Azul Claro Numazu at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Azul Claro Numazu had 51% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano's 49%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parceiro Nagano led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Azul Claro Numazu and 1.50 for Parceiro Nagano.

What was the final score of Azul Claro Numazu vs Parceiro Nagano?

Azul Claro Numazu 1-1 Parceiro Nagano in the Japan - J3 League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azul Claro Numazu vs Parceiro Nagano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Azul Claro Numazu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Azul Claro Numazu 42%, draw 24%, Parceiro Nagano 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP3 More Japan - J3 League
27 Oct 2024
07:00 Grulla Morioka vs Omiya Ardija Analysis →
07:00 Gainare Tottori vs Kataller Toyama Analysis →
08:00 Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Osaka Analysis →
08:00 Fukushima United vs Sagamihara Analysis →