Gainare Tottori 2-2 Kataller Toyama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 52%
+4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.50/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.73
+36% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +57%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
282 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.5 Crosses 28.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainare Tottori
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kataller Toyama
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 2-0 HT 1-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
22.10.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 1-2 HT 1-1 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
11.06.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 0-0 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
27.08.2022 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 3-0 HT 1-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
29.04.2022 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 3-2 HT 2-1 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
26.09.2021 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 0-2 HT 0-2 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainare Tottori
2-2
AWAY Kataller Toyama
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
533 Passes 356
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gainare Tottori vs Kataller Toyama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainare Tottori and Kataller Toyama shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Kataller Toyama at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gainare Tottori had 59% of the ball to Kataller Toyama's 41%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kataller Toyama led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gainare Tottori and 1.17 for Kataller Toyama.

What was the final score of Gainare Tottori vs Kataller Toyama?

Gainare Tottori 2-2 Kataller Toyama in the Japan - J3 League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainare Tottori vs Kataller Toyama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gainare Tottori 31%, draw 28%, Kataller Toyama 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kataller Toyama), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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