Grulla Morioka 1-2 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
54%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.1pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.6pp
54%
Away Win
66%
-12.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 71%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.81/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
214 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grulla Morioka
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Omiya Ardija
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
29.06.2024 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 2-0 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
02.07.2022 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-0 HT 1-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
18.05.2022 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 0-1 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grulla Morioka
1-2
AWAY Omiya Ardija
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
290 Passes 314
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Grulla Morioka vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija nicked a narrow win over Grulla Morioka 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Omiya Ardija as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grulla Morioka had 47% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 53%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Grulla Morioka had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Grulla Morioka and 0.67 for Omiya Ardija.

What was the final score of Grulla Morioka vs Omiya Ardija?

Grulla Morioka 1-2 Omiya Ardija in the Japan - J3 League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grulla Morioka vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Grulla Morioka 20%, draw 26%, Omiya Ardija 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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