Omiya Ardija 2-0 Grulla Morioka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-8.8pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.3pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+9.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 17%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
3.49/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.36
+125% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -36%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Grulla Morioka
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
02.07.2022 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-0 HT 1-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
18.05.2022 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 0-1 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
2-0
AWAY Grulla Morioka
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Grulla Morioka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija saw off Grulla Morioka 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Omiya Ardija as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 60% of the ball to Grulla Morioka's 40%, shots finished 19-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Grulla Morioka led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Omiya Ardija and 1.00 for Grulla Morioka.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Grulla Morioka?

Omiya Ardija 2-0 Grulla Morioka in the Japan - J3 League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Grulla Morioka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 57%, draw 20%, Grulla Morioka 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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