Nara Club 2-2 Gainare Tottori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nara Club EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 28%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
0.75/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.75
-50% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
295 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nara Club
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Gainare Tottori
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 1-2 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
29.04.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-2 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nara Club
2-2
AWAY Gainare Tottori
29% Ball Possession 71%
10 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nara Club vs Gainare Tottori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nara Club and Gainare Tottori shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Nara Club at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nara Club had 29% of the ball to Gainare Tottori's 71%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nara Club and 1.00 for Gainare Tottori.

What was the final score of Nara Club vs Gainare Tottori?

Nara Club 2-2 Gainare Tottori in the Japan - J3 League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nara Club vs Gainare Tottori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nara Club win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nara Club 46%, draw 26%, Gainare Tottori 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nara Club) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nara Club) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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