Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-1 Fukushima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.42/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.21
+7% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Fukushima United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-2 HT 0-1 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
22.07.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-1 HT 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
25.09.2022 Fukushima United Fukushima United 2-1 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
12.06.2022 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 HT 0-1 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
2-1
AWAY Fukushima United
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Fukushima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Giravanz Kitakyushu squeezed past Fukushima United 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Giravanz Kitakyushu as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Giravanz Kitakyushu had 49% of the ball to Fukushima United's 51%, shots finished 17-17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fukushima United led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Giravanz Kitakyushu and 1.50 for Fukushima United.

What was the final score of Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Fukushima United?

Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-1 Fukushima United in the Japan - J3 League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Fukushima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Giravanz Kitakyushu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Giravanz Kitakyushu 41%, draw 25%, Fukushima United 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP3 More Japan - J3 League
29 Jun 2024
10:00 Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano Analysis →
11:00 Osaka vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki Analysis →
12:00 Kataller Toyama vs Sagamihara Analysis →
12:00 Yokohama SCC vs Azul Claro Numazu Analysis →
12:00 Nara Club vs Gainare Tottori Analysis →
13:00 FC Gifu vs Vanraure Hachinohe Analysis →