Kataller Toyama 2-0 Gainare Tottori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.44/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.70
+4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
271 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gainare Tottori
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 1-2 HT 1-1 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
11.06.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 0-0 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
27.08.2022 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 3-0 HT 1-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
29.04.2022 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 3-2 HT 2-1 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
26.09.2021 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 0-2 HT 0-2 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
30.05.2021 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-3 HT 0-1 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
2-0
AWAY Gainare Tottori
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Gainare Tottori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama beat Gainare Tottori 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kataller Toyama as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 44% of the ball to Gainare Tottori's 56%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kataller Toyama had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kataller Toyama and 1.33 for Gainare Tottori.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Gainare Tottori?

Kataller Toyama 2-0 Gainare Tottori in the Japan - J3 League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Gainare Tottori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 45%, draw 25%, Gainare Tottori 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kataller Toyama), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✓ Under 2.5
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