Omiya Ardija 1-1 Azul Claro Numazu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 29%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / +6%
1.33/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.66
-5% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
1-1
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Azul Claro Numazu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija and Azul Claro Numazu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Omiya Ardija at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 53% of the ball to Azul Claro Numazu's 47%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Omiya Ardija 1-1 Azul Claro Numazu in the Japan - J3 League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 45%, draw 27%, Azul Claro Numazu 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Omiya Ardija) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✓ Under 2.5
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