Grulla Morioka 0-1 Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Osaka EU Bookmakers 48%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.41/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.00
+18% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grulla Morioka
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Osaka
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.09.2023 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 0-3 HT 0-1 Osaka Osaka JAP3
18.03.2023 Osaka Osaka 0-3 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grulla Morioka
0-1
AWAY Osaka
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grulla Morioka vs Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osaka edged past Grulla Morioka 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Osaka as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Grulla Morioka had 43% of the ball to Osaka's 57%, shots finished 8-19.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Grulla Morioka and 1.50 for Osaka.

What was the final score of Grulla Morioka vs Osaka?

Grulla Morioka 0-1 Osaka in the Japan - J3 League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grulla Morioka vs Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Grulla Morioka 29%, draw 29%, Osaka 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osaka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Osaka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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