Fredrikstad 1-1 Sarpsborg 08 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.9
6+ Goals
13%
16.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.04
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
12%
4.88
X/2
11%
6.81
X/X
10%
4.58
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
14%
5.07
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 32%
+15% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.49/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.52
+15% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
18.1 Crosses 19.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.75 xG 0.69
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
204 Passes 323
60% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 0-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
13.04.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-2 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
22.05.2019 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-2 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOK
01.03.2019 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 3-0 HT 2-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad HAZ
05.05.2016 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-3 HT 1-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOK
26.09.2011 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-4 HT 0-2 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
1-1
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
1.52 xG 2.55
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
329 Passes 305
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 33
31 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad and Sarpsborg 08 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fredrikstad at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fredrikstad had 51% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 49%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.52 to 2.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fredrikstad and 1.83 for Sarpsborg 08.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08?

Fredrikstad 1-1 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 43%, draw 24%, Sarpsborg 08 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fredrikstad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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