Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sarpsborg 08 v Fredrikstad — Team-Based Signals
Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Sarpsborg 08
NOK
3-0
HT 2-0
Fredrikstad
HAZ
1-3
HT 1-1
Sarpsborg 08
NOK
1-4
HT 0-2
Fredrikstad
NOR
1-1
HT 0-0
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
Sarpsborg 08 0-1 Fredrikstad — Actual Match Statistics
Fredrikstad nicked a narrow win over Sarpsborg 08 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Fredrikstad made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 69% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 31%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.51 to 0.72.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 1.33 for Fredrikstad.
What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad?
Sarpsborg 08 0-1 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 35%, draw 31%, Fredrikstad 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.