Haugesund 0-1 Brann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 28 Sep 2024

Haugesund
0-1 HT 0-1
Brann
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Haugesund vs Brann Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
44%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
8.96
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.32 — our 26% vs market 18.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.9
1/2
7%
21.85
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
13%
8.52
X/2
14%
4.44
X/X
10%
5.4
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.37
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+6.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-6.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Haugesund v Brann — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haugesund EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Brann EU Bookmakers 55%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.03/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.37
-28% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
266 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 76%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.1
19.7 Crosses 16.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6

Haugesund vs Brann Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haugesund
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Brann
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.08 xG 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
250 Passes 418
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.07.2024 Brann Brann 1-1 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
11.11.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 0-2 HT 0-2 Brann Brann NOR
10.04.2023 Brann Brann 3-0 HT 2-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
12.03.2023 Brann Brann 3-1 HT 2-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOK
28.08.2021 Brann Brann 1-3 HT 0-2 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
24.06.2021 Haugesund Haugesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Brann Brann NOR

Haugesund 0-1 Brann — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haugesund
0-1
AWAY Brann
1.70 xG 1.37
36% Ball Possession 64%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
252 Passes 503
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 27
6 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Haugesund vs Brann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann edged past Haugesund 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brann as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Haugesund had 36% of the ball to Brann's 64%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.70 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brann led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Haugesund and 1.67 for Brann.

What was the final score of Haugesund vs Brann?

Haugesund 0-1 Brann in the Norway - Eliteserien on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haugesund vs Brann?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Haugesund 31%, draw 25%, Brann 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brann) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brann) ✗ Over 2.5
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