Samsunspor 2-1 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
77%
1.3
Draw
14%
4.95
Away
9%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.23
Over
62%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.61
2-3
43%
1.92
4-5
29%
2.8
6+
10%
7.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
2.1
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
3%
14.1
X/1
21%
4.45
X/2
4%
10.05
X/X
8%
6.21
2/1
3%
20.3
2/2
5%
7.28
2/X
3%
15.5
Value flag · 1/1 at 2.1 — our 52% vs market 40.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Samsunspor The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor The Market 14%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.44 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.87
0.67 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.24
Average Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Average
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
457 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kayserispor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.06 xG 0.85
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
266 Passes 410
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.01.2025 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-1 HT 0-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
25.01.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
27.08.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-1 HT 2-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
21.02.2015 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor T1L
28.09.2014 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-1 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
18.03.2012 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
2 - 1
AWAY Kayserispor
2.76 xG 0.35
73% Ball Possession 27%
32 Total Shots 8
14 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 4
558 Passes 154
88% Pass Accuracy 67%
53 Box Touches 13
43 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Samsunspor vs Kayserispor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Samsunspor squeezed past Kayserispor 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Samsunspor as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (62%) landed.

On the day, possession split 73% to 27% in Samsunspor's favour, shots finished 32-8, expected goals 2.76 to 0.35 — on chances created, Samsunspor won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samsunspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Samsunspor against 0.83 for Kayserispor.

Samsunspor vs Kayserispor Result & Final Score

Samsunspor 2 - 1 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Samsunspor vs Kayserispor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 77%, draw 14%, Kayserispor 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samsunspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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