Naft 2-1 Newroz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 1 Jun 2026

Naft
2-1 HT 1-0
Newroz
📅01/06/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
2.0
Over 2.5
38%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.63
No
59%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
46%
+16.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
54%
-16.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
57%
-15.8pp
59%
BTTS No
43%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Newroz EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.29/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.93
+0% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Newroz
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
05.01.2026 Newroz 2-0 HT 1-0 Naft Naft IRAK
12.05.2025 Newroz 0-1 HT 0-0 Naft Naft IRAK
24.12.2023 Newroz 3-1 Naft Naft IRAK
POST-MATCH Naft vs Newroz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft squeezed past Newroz 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Naft as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Newroz led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Naft and 1.67 for Newroz.

What was the final score of Naft vs Newroz?

Naft 2-1 Newroz in the Iraq - Premier League on 01/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft vs Newroz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Naft 41%, draw 29%, Newroz 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naft) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naft) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
1 Jun 2026
18:00 Diala vs Duhok Analysis →
18:00 Al Mosul vs Al-Qasim Analysis →
20:30 Al Talaba vs Al Karkh Analysis →
20:30 Al Najaf vs Al Zawraa Analysis →