Newroz 0-1 Naft — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 12 May 2025

Newroz
0-1 HT 0-0
Naft
📅12/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Newroz vs Naft Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.27
No
64%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
31%
-6.1pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.2pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newroz v Naft — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newroz EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft EU Bookmakers 33%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.88/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.81
+107% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -50%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Newroz vs Naft Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newroz
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Naft
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
24.12.2023 Newroz 3-1 Naft Naft IRAK
POST-MATCH Newroz vs Naft
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft edged past Newroz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Naft found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Newroz vs Naft?

Newroz 0-1 Naft in the Iraq - Premier League on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newroz vs Naft?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Newroz 39%, draw 25%, Naft 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Newroz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newroz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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