Al Kahrabaa 2-1 Al-Qasim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.06
No
65%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
25%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.1pp
35%
BTTS Yes
44%
-9.9pp
65%
BTTS No
56%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kahrabaa EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Qasim EU Bookmakers 32%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.73/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.06
+101% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Kahrabaa vs Al-Qasim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kahrabaa nicked a narrow win over Al-Qasim 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Al Kahrabaa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Kahrabaa vs Al-Qasim?

Al Kahrabaa 2-1 Al-Qasim in the Iraq - Premier League on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kahrabaa vs Al-Qasim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Kahrabaa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Al Kahrabaa 36%, draw 31%, Al-Qasim 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Kahrabaa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Kahrabaa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
12 May 2025
18:00 Diala vs Erbil Analysis →
20:30 Naft Al-Basra vs Al Najaf Analysis →
20:30 Newroz vs Naft Analysis →