Newroz 2-0 Naft — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 5 Jan 2026

Newroz
2-0 HT 1-0
Naft
📅05/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Newroz vs Naft Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.56
Over 2.5
32%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.1pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.8pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.3pp
68%
Under 2.5
60%
+7.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
40%
-7.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newroz v Naft — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newroz EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft EU Bookmakers 40%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.00/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.11
-100% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Newroz vs Naft Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newroz
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Naft
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
12.05.2025 Newroz 0-1 HT 0-0 Naft Naft IRAK
24.12.2023 Newroz 3-1 Naft Naft IRAK
POST-MATCH Newroz vs Naft
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newroz got the better of Naft 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (29% / 32% / 39%) promised a tight game; Newroz found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Newroz and 1.00 for Naft.

What was the final score of Newroz vs Naft?

Newroz 2-0 Naft in the Iraq - Premier League on 05/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newroz vs Naft?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Newroz 29%, draw 32%, Naft 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Naft) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naft) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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