Naft Maysan 1-1 Diala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 5 Jan 2026

📅05/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.17
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
46%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
28%
-8.7pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.5pp
46%
Away Win
40%
+6.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Diala EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+18% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Maysan
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Diala
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21.04.2025 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan 0-1 HT 0-0 Diala Diala IRAK
03.02.2025 Diala Diala 3-1 HT 3-1 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan IRAK
POST-MATCH Naft Maysan vs Diala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Maysan and Diala shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Diala at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Diala led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Naft Maysan and 2.00 for Diala.

What was the final score of Naft Maysan vs Diala?

Naft Maysan 1-1 Diala in the Iraq - Premier League on 05/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Maysan vs Diala?

Before kick-off our model rated an Diala win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Naft Maysan 20%, draw 34%, Diala 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Diala), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Diala) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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