Al Minaa Basra 1-2 Al Kahrabaa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 5 Jan 2026

📅05/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
45%
+5.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kahrabaa EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.21/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.36
-3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Minaa Basra
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Kahrabaa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
27.04.2025 Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa IRAK
30.01.2025 Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Minaa Basra vs Al Kahrabaa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kahrabaa nicked a narrow win over Al Minaa Basra 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Minaa Basra at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Kahrabaa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Minaa Basra and 2.00 for Al Kahrabaa.

What was the final score of Al Minaa Basra vs Al Kahrabaa?

Al Minaa Basra 1-2 Al Kahrabaa in the Iraq - Premier League on 05/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Minaa Basra vs Al Kahrabaa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Minaa Basra win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Minaa Basra 50%, draw 27%, Al Kahrabaa 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Minaa Basra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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