Portekiz 0-0 Slovenya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Euro, 1 Jul 2024

📅01/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.79
2-3 Goals
35%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 31% vs market 21.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.65
1/2
5%
90.0
1/X
5%
20.05
X/1
22%
3.44
X/2
7%
16.0
X/X
11%
6.37
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
9%
13.25
2/X
7%
21.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-12.6pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.9pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portekiz EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovenya EU Bookmakers 15%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.85/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.15/0.80
+7% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -99% / +150%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
499 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
29.0 Crosses 4.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portekiz
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Slovenya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.69 xG 1.17
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
689 Passes 332
93% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.03.2024 Slovenya Slovenya 2-0 HT 0-0 Portekiz Portekiz HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portekiz
0-0
AWAY Slovenya
1.97 xG 0.60
72% Ball Possession 28%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 4
679 Passes 187
88% Pass Accuracy 61%
39 Box Touches 10
39 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Portekiz vs Slovenya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz and Slovenya played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Portekiz carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Portekiz had 72% of the ball to Slovenya's 28%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.97 to 0.60.

What was the final score of Portekiz vs Slovenya?

Portekiz 0-0 Slovenya in the Euro on 01/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portekiz vs Slovenya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portekiz win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Portekiz 56%, draw 24%, Slovenya 21%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Portekiz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portekiz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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