Criciuma 1-1 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 1 Jul 2024

Criciuma
1-1 HT 0-1
Internacional
📅01/07/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Criciuma vs Internacional Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.44
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.12
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.2
X/1
13%
5.31
X/2 EV+ ✗
20%
5.25
X/X
14%
3.58
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
11%
4.06
2/X
5%
14.15
Value flag · X/2 at 5.25 — our 20% vs market 14.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Criciuma v Internacional — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Criciuma EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 38%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +19%
1.27/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.06
+50% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +41%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
21.0 Crosses 17.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.3

Criciuma vs Internacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Criciuma
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Internacional
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
227 Passes 392
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 32
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2017 Criciuma Criciuma 2-3 HT 1-2 Internacional Internacional BR2
08.07.2017 Internacional Internacional 1-1 HT 0-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
25.09.2014 Internacional Internacional 3-0 HT 1-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR1
19.05.2014 Criciuma Criciuma 0-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
15.09.2013 Criciuma Criciuma 0-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
31.05.2013 Internacional Internacional 2-0 HT 2-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR1

Criciuma 1-1 Internacional — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Criciuma
1-1
AWAY Internacional
0.87 xG 1.16
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 Passes 404
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 27
27 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Criciuma vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Criciuma and Internacional shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Criciuma had 46% of the ball to Internacional's 54%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 0.87 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Criciuma and 1.67 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Criciuma vs Internacional?

Criciuma 1-1 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 01/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 36%, draw 27%, Internacional 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Internacional), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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