Houston Sur 1-1 Hill Country Lobos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 1 Jul 2024

Houston Sur
1-1 HT 0-0
Hill Country Lobos
📅01/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
USA - USL League 2 – 2024

Houston Sur vs Hill Country Lobos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
35%
+0.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
65%
-0.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.8pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Houston Sur v Hill Country Lobos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Sur EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hill Country Lobos EU Bookmakers 32%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Houston Sur vs Hill Country Lobos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston Sur and Hill Country Lobos shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

What was the final score of Houston Sur vs Hill Country Lobos?

Houston Sur 1-1 Hill Country Lobos in the USA - USL League 2 on 01/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Sur vs Hill Country Lobos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Sur win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Houston Sur 40%, draw 25%, Hill Country Lobos 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Houston Sur), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Houston Sur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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