Ballard vs Capital Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ballard v Capital — Team-Based Signals
Ballard vs Capital Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-2
Ballard
USL2
3-2
HT 0-0
Capital
USL2
Ballard and Capital couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ballard at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ballard had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 4.67 goals for Ballard and 1.33 for Capital.
What was the final score of Ballard vs Capital?
Ballard 2-2 Capital in the USA - USL League 2 on 01/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ballard vs Capital?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ballard win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ballard 58%, draw 30%, Capital 13%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ballard) went the other way.