01/07/2024
·
02:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Marin vs Academica Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
23%
Draw
24%
35%
Away Win
33%
34%
Under 2.5
30%
66%
Over 2.5
70%
64%
BTTS Yes
70%
36%
BTTS No
30%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marin v Academica — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Marin
EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY
Academica
EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
6
5
Corners
4
380 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
310 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Marin vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Marin nicked a narrow win over Academica 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Marin as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Marin vs Academica?
Marin 2-1 Academica in the USA - USL League 2 on 01/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marin vs Academica?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Marin 42%, draw 23%, Academica 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Marin)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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