KuPS Kuopio 6-2 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 1 Jul 2025

📅01/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.98
4-5 Goals
24%
2.9
6+ Goals
10%
7.91
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.86 — our 26% vs market 16.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.07
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.95
X/1
16%
4.45
X/2
10%
10.45
X/X
13%
6.19
2/1
8%
20.4
2/2
14%
7.6
2/X
7%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-11.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+9.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.48/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.65
-27% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
395 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
21.8 Crosses 15.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Gnistan
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.16 xG 1.14
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
427 Passes 275
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2025 Gnistan Gnistan 1-2 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
07.07.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-1 HT 3-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
19.05.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 0-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
20.03.2021 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 5-0 HT 3-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
6-2
AWAY Gnistan
2.44 xG 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
426 Passes 347
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ KuPS Kuopio vs Gnistan
Match summary & frequently asked questions

KuPS Kuopio ran out comfortable winners over Gnistan 6-2 in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 1 Jul 2025. Half-time: 3-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 55% of the ball to Gnistan's 45%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.44 to 1.00.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 0.50 for Gnistan.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs Gnistan?

KuPS Kuopio 6-2 Gnistan in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 01/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs Gnistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 46%, draw 25%, Gnistan 30%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio)
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