Cerro Largo 2-2 CA River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 1 Jul 2025

📅01/07/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
1.40/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.15
-3% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Largo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY CA River Plate
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2025 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
09.11.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
05.05.2024 CA River Plate CA River Plate 2-3 HT 2-2 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
19.08.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
05.02.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-1 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
30.08.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-5 HT 0-3 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
POST-MATCH Cerro Largo vs CA River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Largo and CA River Plate shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cerro Largo and 1.33 for CA River Plate.

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs CA River Plate?

Cerro Largo 2-2 CA River Plate in the Uruguay - Premier League on 01/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs CA River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 40%, draw 28%, CA River Plate 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Largo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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