Black Rock 1-1 Seacoast United Phantoms — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 1 Jul 2025

📅01/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.5pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.6pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Black Rock EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Seacoast United Phantoms EU Bookmakers 30%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.66
-44% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
442 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Black Rock
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Seacoast United Phantoms
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.07.2024 Seacoast United Phantoms Seacoast United Phantoms 3-0 HT 0-0 Black Rock Black Rock USL2
30.06.2023 Black Rock Black Rock 0-1 HT 0-1 Seacoast United Phantoms Seacoast United Phantoms USL2
17.06.2023 Seacoast United Phantoms Seacoast United Phantoms 3-1 HT 1-1 Black Rock Black Rock USL2
POST-MATCH Black Rock vs Seacoast United Phantoms
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Black Rock and Seacoast United Phantoms shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Black Rock at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Seacoast United Phantoms led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Black Rock and 2.33 for Seacoast United Phantoms.

What was the final score of Black Rock vs Seacoast United Phantoms?

Black Rock 1-1 Seacoast United Phantoms in the USA - USL League 2 on 01/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Black Rock vs Seacoast United Phantoms?

Before kick-off our model rated a Black Rock win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Black Rock 45%, draw 20%, Seacoast United Phantoms 36%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Black Rock) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL2 More USA - USL League 2
1 Jul 2025
03:00 Northern Virginia vs Virginia Marauders Analysis →