Northern Virginia 3-2 Virginia Marauders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 1 Jul 2025

📅01/07/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.11
Draw
23%
8.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
85%
-21.6pp
23%
Draw
8%
+14.4pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northern Virginia EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Virginia Marauders EU Bookmakers 9%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
4.36/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/7.33
+64% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -63%
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
510 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northern Virginia
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Virginia Marauders
5.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
03.07.2024 Northern Virginia Northern Virginia 9-0 HT 4-0 Virginia Marauders Virginia Marauders USL2
25.05.2024 Virginia Marauders Virginia Marauders 0-3 HT 0-1 Northern Virginia Northern Virginia USL2
12.06.2023 Virginia Marauders Virginia Marauders 1-4 HT 1-1 Northern Virginia Northern Virginia USL2
POST-MATCH Northern Virginia vs Virginia Marauders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northern Virginia nicked a narrow win over Virginia Marauders 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Northern Virginia as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Northern Virginia had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 5.33 goals for Northern Virginia and 0.33 for Virginia Marauders.

What was the final score of Northern Virginia vs Virginia Marauders?

Northern Virginia 3-2 Virginia Marauders in the USA - USL League 2 on 01/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northern Virginia vs Virginia Marauders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northern Virginia win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Northern Virginia 64%, draw 23%, Virginia Marauders 14%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northern Virginia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Northern Virginia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL2 More USA - USL League 2
1 Jul 2025
00:00 Black Rock vs Seacoast United Phantoms Analysis →