Northern Virginia 9-0 Virginia Marauders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 3 Jul 2024

📅03/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
2.96
Over 2.5
72%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
41%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
3%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
77%
-9.3pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.9pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+3.2pp
28%
Under 2.5
30%
-2.6pp
72%
Over 2.5
70%
+2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northern Virginia EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Virginia Marauders EU Bookmakers 11%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.90/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/5.00
-33% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -48%
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
511 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northern Virginia
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Virginia Marauders
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Virginia Marauders Virginia Marauders 0-3 HT 0-1 Northern Virginia Northern Virginia USL2
12.06.2023 Virginia Marauders Virginia Marauders 1-4 HT 1-1 Northern Virginia Northern Virginia USL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northern Virginia
9-0
AWAY Virginia Marauders
60% Ball Possession 40%
30 Total Shots 5
17 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Northern Virginia vs Virginia Marauders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northern Virginia ran out comfortable winners over Virginia Marauders 9-0. Half-time: 4-0. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Northern Virginia as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 9-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (72%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Northern Virginia had 60% of the ball to Virginia Marauders's 40%, shots finished 30-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Northern Virginia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Northern Virginia and 0.50 for Virginia Marauders.

What was the final score of Northern Virginia vs Virginia Marauders?

Northern Virginia 9-0 Virginia Marauders in the USA - USL League 2 on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northern Virginia vs Virginia Marauders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northern Virginia win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Northern Virginia 68%, draw 20%, Virginia Marauders 12%. The final score 9-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northern Virginia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Northern Virginia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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