01/07/2026
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Mekelle Kenema vs Negele Arsi Ketema Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
35%
Draw
32%
32%
Away Win
35%
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
57%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mekelle Kenema v Negele Arsi Ketema — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Mekelle Kenema
EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
Negele Arsi Ketema
EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% /
-4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+14% /
+14%
0.93/1.21
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.16/0.63
+2%
/
-24%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+25%
/
+35%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
9
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
292 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
276 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.3
Yellow Cards
2.4
Mekelle Kenema vs Negele Arsi Ketema Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Mekelle Kenema
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Negele Arsi Ketema
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
54%
Ball Possession
46%
10
Total Shots
5
4
Shots on Target
2
5
Corners
2
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Mekelle Kenema vs Negele Arsi Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Mekelle Kenema swept aside Negele Arsi Ketema 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (34% / 35% / 32%) promised a tight game; Mekelle Kenema found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.
What was the final score of Mekelle Kenema vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
Mekelle Kenema 3-0 Negele Arsi Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 01/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mekelle Kenema vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Mekelle Kenema 34%, draw 35%, Negele Arsi Ketema 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Draw)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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ETH
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