Negele Arsi Ketema 1-0 Mekelle Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 5 Feb 2026

Negele Arsi Ketema
1-0 HT 1-0
Mekelle Kenema
📅05/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Etiyopya - Premier League – 2025/2026

Negele Arsi Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
38%
2.7
Away
22%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
14%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.4pp
38%
Draw
33%
+4.7pp
22%
Away Win
28%
-6.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Negele Arsi Ketema v Mekelle Kenema — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Negele Arsi Ketema EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelle Kenema EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.49/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/0.79
+55% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
246 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Negele Arsi Ketema 1-0 Mekelle Kenema — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Negele Arsi Ketema
1-0
AWAY Mekelle Kenema
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Negele Arsi Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Negele Arsi Ketema edged past Mekelle Kenema 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 38% / 22%) promised a tight game; Negele Arsi Ketema found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Negele Arsi Ketema had 46% of the ball to Mekelle Kenema's 54%, shots finished 5-10.

What was the final score of Negele Arsi Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema?

Negele Arsi Ketema 1-0 Mekelle Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 05/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Negele Arsi Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Negele Arsi Ketema 40%, draw 38%, Mekelle Kenema 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Negele Arsi Ketema), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Negele Arsi Ketema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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