Ethiopian Insurance 0-0 Fasil Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 5 Feb 2026

📅05/02/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.67
Draw
40%
2.66
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
Over 2.5
26%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.51
No
64%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
34%
-6.6pp
40%
Draw
34%
+5.8pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
+0.4pp
64%
BTTS No
64%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.94/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.93
-2% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Fasil Ketema
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.05.2025 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 0-2 HT 0-1 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
05.02.2025 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 0-1 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
09.03.2024 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 0-2 HT 0-0 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
POST-MATCH Ethiopian Insurance vs Fasil Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance and Fasil Ketema fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (27% / 40% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fasil Ketema led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ethiopian Insurance and 1.00 for Fasil Ketema.

What was the final score of Ethiopian Insurance vs Fasil Ketema?

Ethiopian Insurance 0-0 Fasil Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 05/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopian Insurance vs Fasil Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ethiopian Insurance 27%, draw 40%, Fasil Ketema 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ETH More Etiyopya - Premier League
5 Feb 2026
15:00 Bahardar vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank Analysis →
16:00 Kedus Giorgis vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni Analysis →
18:00 Negele Arsi Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema Analysis →