Fasil Ketema 0-2 Ethiopian Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 13 May 2025

📅13/05/2025 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.17
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.54
Over 2.5
30%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
28%
-5.4pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+3.9pp
70%
Under 2.5
61%
+8.6pp
30%
Over 2.5
39%
-8.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.3pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 46%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
0.65/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/0.17
-34% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
256 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fasil Ketema
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.02.2025 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 0-1 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
09.03.2024 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 0-2 HT 0-0 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fasil Ketema
0-2
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopian Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance saw off Fasil Ketema 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ethiopian Insurance as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fasil Ketema had 43% of the ball to Ethiopian Insurance's 57%, shots finished 6-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fasil Ketema had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fasil Ketema and 0.00 for Ethiopian Insurance.

What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Fasil Ketema 0-2 Ethiopian Insurance in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 23%, draw 31%, Ethiopian Insurance 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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