Dire Dawa Kenema 1-1 Mekelle Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 13 May 2025

📅13/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.13
No
65%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
33%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.2pp
35%
BTTS Yes
43%
-8.2pp
65%
BTTS No
57%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelle Kenema EU Bookmakers 34%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.69/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.50
-34% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +104%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mekelle Kenema
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2024 Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema 3-2 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema
1-1
AWAY Mekelle Kenema
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Dire Dawa Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dire Dawa Kenema and Mekelle Kenema couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Dire Dawa Kenema had 55% of the ball to Mekelle Kenema's 45%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Dire Dawa Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema?

Dire Dawa Kenema 1-1 Mekelle Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dire Dawa Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Dire Dawa Kenema 36%, draw 29%, Mekelle Kenema 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dire Dawa Kenema), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dire Dawa Kenema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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