Hadiya Hosaena 3-2 Welwalo Adigrat Uni — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 13 May 2025

📅13/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.53
No
54%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.7pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.1pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 27%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.14/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+19% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
3 Total Shots 2
0 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2025 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-0 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
3-2
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hadiya Hosaena vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hadiya Hosaena edged past Welwalo Adigrat Uni 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hadiya Hosaena as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hadiya Hosaena had 51% of the ball to Welwalo Adigrat Uni's 49%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Hadiya Hosaena vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Hadiya Hosaena 3-2 Welwalo Adigrat Uni in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hadiya Hosaena vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hadiya Hosaena win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hadiya Hosaena 45%, draw 28%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hadiya Hosaena) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hadiya Hosaena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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