Kedus Giorgis 1-1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 5 Feb 2026

📅05/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
41%
2.7
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
26%
2.67
No
74%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
54%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
28%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.2pp
41%
Draw
34%
+7.1pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.9pp
26%
BTTS Yes
33%
-7.5pp
74%
BTTS No
67%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 28%
-17% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.85/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/0.38
-13% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
341 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kedus Giorgis
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2025 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-3 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
27.09.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 2-1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni ETH
POST-MATCH Kedus Giorgis vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kedus Giorgis and Welwalo Adigrat Uni shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (37% / 41% / 22%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (75%) landed while no to both teams scoring (74%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kedus Giorgis had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kedus Giorgis and 1.00 for Welwalo Adigrat Uni.

What was the final score of Kedus Giorgis vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Kedus Giorgis 1-1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 05/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kedus Giorgis vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kedus Giorgis 37%, draw 41%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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