Bahardar 2-2 Ethiopia Nigd Bank — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 5 Feb 2026

📅05/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
34%
2.7
Away
23%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+5.9pp
34%
Draw
34%
+0.8pp
23%
Away Win
29%
-6.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahardar EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -4%
0.95/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.28
-2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -27%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahardar
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.05.2025 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0-0 HT 0-0 Bahardar Bahardar ETH
04.12.2024 Bahardar Bahardar 3-0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank ETH
13.06.2024 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-2 HT 0-2 Bahardar Bahardar ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahardar
2-2
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bahardar vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahardar and Ethiopia Nigd Bank couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bahardar at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bahardar had 55% of the ball to Ethiopia Nigd Bank's 45%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bahardar had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bahardar and 0.67 for Ethiopia Nigd Bank.

What was the final score of Bahardar vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Bahardar 2-2 Ethiopia Nigd Bank in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 05/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahardar vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahardar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bahardar 43%, draw 34%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bahardar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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