Dire Dawa Kenema 2-1 Arba Minch Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 1 Jul 2026

📅01/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.82
Over 2.5
37%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.5pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.0pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
51%
+11.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
49%
-11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +22%
1.33/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.94
+16% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
06.02.2026 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema 1-1 HT 1-1 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema ETH
17.05.2025 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 1-0 HT 0-0 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema
2-1
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Dire Dawa Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dire Dawa Kenema squeezed past Arba Minch Kenema 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dire Dawa Kenema as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dire Dawa Kenema had 53% of the ball to Arba Minch Kenema's 47%, shots finished 7-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dire Dawa Kenema had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dire Dawa Kenema and 0.50 for Arba Minch Kenema.

What was the final score of Dire Dawa Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Dire Dawa Kenema 2-1 Arba Minch Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 01/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dire Dawa Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dire Dawa Kenema 45%, draw 30%, Arba Minch Kenema 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dire Dawa Kenema) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dire Dawa Kenema) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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